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Posted on Tuesday, November 6th, 2012


I called the presidential election the minute Mitt Romney emerged as the Republican candidate.

Dave Decision 2013

Unless President Obama strangled a puppy while kicking Betty White in the face after wiping his ass with the American flag during an episode of Dancing with the Stars, the election was his to lose. Sure it was a little closer than I had first imagined... but I just couldn't come up with a scenario where Romney got 270 votes out of the electoral college. My best-guess as of yesterday was this...

Dave Election Map

I started with the 2008 election map and took Indiana, Virginia, North Carolina, and Florida from President Obama. I waffled on Colorado, but ultimately gave it to him.

In the end, the President managed to keep Virginia. That surprised me. He may even (eventually) keep Florida. I wasn't counting on that. It also looks like he may win the Popular Vote, which was something else I wasn't sure he'd do. So... a bigger victory than I projected... but not the runaway success he enjoyed for his first term.

And so...

It will be an interesting four years. Again.

But what I am really waiting for is news on Washington State's Referendum 74 for marriage equality. It is currently winning approval at 52% vs. 48% with just half of the votes counted. Whether this trend continues and puts my home state on the right side of history... or whether we continue to rail against the inevitable... is unknown.

Oh well. We just legalized marijuana, so I guess anything is possible.

Categories: News - Politics 2012Click To It: Permalink


  1. Kailyn says:

    I am still pissed off that y’all legalized marijuana before California did. And now you want to top it with possibly legalizing same sex marriage first? Can we talk about baseball? Because the amount of sun in the Bay Area is about my bare minimum. And I like to see people who look like me on a regular basis. Down here in California we’ve been told that we won’t see a lot of folks who look like us in Oregon or Washington. Or that’s my childhood memories of Oregon at least. Lots of stupid questions.

  2. I voted for Romney. says:

    I’m saddened by this turnout.

    And i’m afraid of what turn this country will take. I don’t think it will ever be the same…

  3. Alan Labovitz says:

    I heard on NPR this morning that freedom of marriage won everywhere it was on the ballot. I’m not sure it’s true but I hope so.

  4. CNN is still saying Florida isn’t done counting yet, but Obama would still win anyway even if we swung Republican.(I sure as hell didn’t!) You should have drawn Bad Monkey packing up a U-haul for Canada since all I’ve seen in my streams this morning are folks joking about “Hey! Do you need the # to a moving company and help packing?”. Ugh… here’s hoping those guys in Washington DC will work together this time!

  5. claire says:

    Yeah, I know you called it ages ago, but I was worried. Perhaps because the outcome would affect me more personally if it went the wrong way.

  6. the muskrat says:

    I’ll be in Colorado next week, which means FREE POT FOR EVERYONE! I think.

  7. delmer says:

    Josh Mandel (R), in running against Sherrod Brown (D) for Senate, liked to say the Brown “cast the deciding vote for Obamacare.” (Which was why people should not reelect Brown.)

    In much that same way, I (and that should be a bold ‘I’) cast the deciding vote to give Obama a second term. I’m in Ohio and all the world knows we’re the only state that counted this time… and I voted for Obama.

    I know it’s not exactly apples-to-apples. (Or apples to anything, really. But it makes as much sense as Mandel’s argument.)

  8. martymankins says:

    Fun times living in one of the reddest states in the nation (we gave Romney a 72.8% of the popular vote in this state)

    You did a good job of predicting the outcome.

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